Both the U.S. and (the People’s Republic of) China are trying to establish the first lunar outposts, and it is possible that we will see lunar colonies within our lifetimes. When that happens, do you think there will be a movement towards independence, just as the colonies of Britain, France, Spain, etc. vyed for freedom? Would this be peaceful or violent, and how would either work? How realistic is an independent lunar nation, given the hostile living conditions? What would lunar culture look like? Would it be a mix of American and Chinese culture, or something new entirely?
Or do you think the Moon and other bodies in our Solar System will become internationally run (and protected) areas, a bit like how Antarctica is on Earth?


Kim Stanley Robinson wrote an excellent trilogy about the colonization of Mars that goes through the evolution of colony of earthlings that eventually grow to view themselves as martians and seek independence. Highly recommend!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_trilogy
Sorta happens in the newest season of For All Mankind too, but they have leverage.
https://www.thetvdb.com/series/for-all-mankind