If this is your first pregnancy, usually around 5 months it becomes impossible to hide. If you want to show, however, you can wear clothes that make it more obvious and show around month 3.

Removed by mod

There’s probably more than one reason, but an important reason I want to outline is the war that’s predicted to happen in 2027 or 2028: China vs. USA, sparked by Chinese invasion of Taiwan.

Venezuela is allied with China, has weapons, and is within range of the Panama Canal. The canal will be very important during the war, as it will be the route that Atlantic naval ships take to get to the war zone. China would lean on Venezuela to target, damage, and possibly shut-down the canal, dramatically increasing US supply lines and down-time for ship repairs & updates. Most of our ship capacity is on the east coast.

Everything the US does now is with an eye on this possible war. It is the reason why the Biden administration didn’t get more involved in the defense of Ukraine. The US fears getting bogged down in a second war when the war against China starts. Here, with Venezuela, we took out a significant threat quickly and made the canal more secure. Yes, there’s oil, ego, distractions, and other reasons … but don’t discount the role this future conflict plays.

Your link reads just like every western European country with failing demographics … and it isn’t working. I did hear on NPR News the other day that China is implementing a new tax on contraceptives. That’s a new idea. Something that would be so unpopular, it could only happen in a non-democratic country. Maybe that’ll help, but my prediction is that it’ll just increase (or slow the decrease of) the population of ethnic and religious minorities within China, something the one-party government may not like. I do not see any good solutions within reach for China. Demographic issues are cultural issues and you cannot change a culture quickly. Demographic issues are rarely economic issues (though economics gets the blame). Are there any subcultures within China known for large families? Here in the US, we have Amish, Mennonites, Muslims, Orthodox Jews, Traditional Catholics, and Quiverfull Evangelicals who all tend to have large families. Myself, I have 11, and have just learned my wife is pregnant with twelve.

I have a customer (I own my own business) who is a Chinese immigrant to the US and I was visiting his house here in the US. We were talking and he learned that I had 11 children. He immediately called his daughter, who is a doctor still living in China, and gave her a stern talking to about how this “poor” man here in the US can give his parents 11 grandchildren and she could not even give them just one. It was a little awkward to listen to, as they went back and forth between English and Manderin. What they feel is not unusual among the Chinese. China’s one child policy defined Chinese culture. And now young men and women just do not have the example or the confidence to start a family. They also have witnessed a generation of people praised for work and professional success that comes at the expense of producing and raising many children. The one-party state does not have the tools to dramatically change this trend. If a reverse happens, it’ll happen over the period of a century, not years or decades.

Looks like you finally finally left your room: https://kotaku.com/esports-gamer-reportedly-leaves-hotel-room-a-horrible-mess-after-two-year-stay-2000654662

With how much time you spend online, it cannot be far from the truth.

If you did any amount of research on me, you would see I’ve got 11 kids of my own and have enough going on that I cannot spam the internet all day long. You really should log out and work on meeting a girl, get some sunlight, and step outside your bubble. You are a fun adversary but I’m starting to worry about you.

Europe and East Asia have been looking for policies to improve demographics. Nobody has a workable plan.

That’s one of your better photos. Keep it up, someday you’ll find a girl.

The capital you rely on in your argument has a asymptote, and as China approaches this line, growth will happen at a diminishing rate. How much technical progress can they squeeze out of the tube? Is it enough to deal with demographic collapse? Probably not.

China also has a huge gender imbalance. All those excess men count differently than men in other countries with a balanced gender dynamic. Also, China’s demographics (according to the website) do not compare favorably to the US. That said, it’ll be India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Nigeria and places like this that production shifts to as China ages.

We are also seeing peak China. Their demographic problems will be a severe drag going forward. It’ll be a multi-power world, not a Chinese hegemony.

Which communities do you most recommend or enjoy?

Quin Dynasty ceded Taiwan to Japan in 1895. It remained part of Japan until 1945 when Japan surrender to the United States at the end of WW2. It was then handed over to the Republic of China in 1945 and remains with that government through today. The people living in Taiwan have their own government, history, and sense of nationalism that’s many generations separate and distinct from anyone else.

I started using Linux as my primary computer about 7 years ago. After a few months of distro hopping, I landed on Solus because it is stable and rolling. I didn’t want to deal with breaks during major upgrades. My system is still going and I have no complaints. I’m just a regular computer user, personal and work (non-tech job). I have to wonder why Solus doesn’t get more attention.

Ukraine maintained every part of the Minsk agreement reasonable to keep while Russia was in blatant violation of the agreement. Russia agreed to a withdraw of military forces from Ukraine (including the Dombass region) and refused to do so after signing the agreement. This constrained what Ukraine could reasonably do under the circumstances. To Russia, the agreements were a hiatus in a bigger fight.

The LPR and DPR are not recognized as legitimate entities under the Minsk Agreements. They were added without consent by Ukraine after Ukraine had already signed the agreement.

Russia, what they gain is security

Yes, now bombs fall on Russian cities, power plants go dark, and refineries are on fire.

if this is for “vainglory,” why limit it to the Donbass region

Russia has already expanded their territorial claims beyond the Dombass.

Russia has proven capable of fighting an attrition war that Ukraine cannot

Neither side is doing well. If Russia was capable, they’d be gaining more than a few meters every day.

Russian population benefiting massively from strengthened ties with China

Russian demographics are in the toilet and friendship with China isn’t going to help.

Russia has been strengthened economically

A wartime economy produces encouraging economic figures but cannot be sustained and, when the war produces this kind of strain, the post-war economy is economic collapse. The war has to end someday and it will be ugly for the Russian people when that happens.

I gather that English is probably a second language for you, so I assume you have confused terms. Balkanization is not a color revolution. Balkanization is when a larger country breaks apart into several smaller countries. For example, if a political crisis resulted in a power vacuum within Russia sufficient for the Buryats to declare an independent republic, along with the Yakuts and several others. That would be Balkanization. These new nations would be weak and would be vulnerable to political or military capture by China. The US does not want that. A color revolution, on the other hand, could be a number of things, but most likely a change in the leadership in Moscow without producing a plethora of fracturing states. If the current political regime in Moscow was replaced by one more friendly to liberal, democratic, and market-oriented institutions, that’s one the US would favor, especially if it prevented Balkanization.

Do you bother reading the links you post? Or are you just trying to weaponize time against an ideological opponent? The paper does not address Russian balkanization or the setup of bases in a post-Russian landscape.

The US does not want the collapse of the Russian state and balkanization because the US believes that China would use the opportunity to grab resource rich land from Russia. US’s interests is in Russia being whole, powerful enough to prevent a vacuum, but not so powerful as to be a threat to neighbors. The US does not want Russian land to become Chinese land. And that’s probably what would happen if Russia balkanized.

Finland & Sweden were not controversial for admission and even these took much effort. Hungary has made clear they would never support Ukraine inside NATO. But even if their politics changed to allow it, the Turkish would never allow it, no matter which political party runs Turkey.

But let’s say that Ukraine did join NATO. So what? NATO is a defense treaty and a standards organization. Being a member of NATO just makes you a little harder to invade, it is not a threat to non-NATO neighbors. If Russia did not have an “invade your neighbor” mindset, there would be zero problem with all her neighbors being NATO members. That Russia has a problem with the idea of Ukraine inside NATO is an indication that Russia does not respect borders or national sovereignty of her neighbors. That she opposes it is the reason it is reasonably desired.

1. If you sincerely believe there’s a military industrial complex, you should read these reports and watch the accompanying video: Link.

2. If the people of Taiwan held a legitimate referendum to unify with China, there’s nothing the US could do to stop it. What the US can help stop is a violent invasion and the Chinese military has been readying for exactly that mission. China’s peak ability to do so will be 2027 or 2028 after which most analysts agree that their ability will diminish due to internal demographic & economic issues, US & Taiwan preparedness, and a changing in technology that increasingly favors defense.

There was a time that peaceful unification was possible. That was before China destroyed Hong Kong’s system of democratic rule. The people of Taiwan watched what happened and decided right then that promises given prior to unification would never last under Chinese rule.

The weapons producers are tiny companies in comparison. If a senator got a call from Apple and from Rheinmetall at the same time, he would 100% take the Apple call first. China wants the US to be bogged down with Ukraine when China invades Taiwan. Keeping this war going is the cover they desire to pull off their upcoming territorial expansion which will not be limited to Taiwan.

You may have noticed that all these military bases are easily supplied through naval support. My prior comment was about supply lines. You are never going to get reliable supply lines for American military through 11 time zones of difficult to transit Russian territory. Your map is also a bit bogus. There’s no military base in Pakistan. A small one operated until 2017, to support troops in Afghanistan, but was not sustainable. There’s never been a US military base inside India.

Yes, China has the geopolitical challenge of US bases in the Pacific. These are easily resupplied and support supply chains. It should also be noted that US military presence does not harm China’s ability to conduct trade, execute domestic policy, or retain her sovereignty. China gripes about US “freedom of seas” navigations, because China has naval claims nobody else recognizes, but that’s not a problem any other nation on the globe cares about.