IDK I’ve predicted my own birthday and Christmas correctly dozens of times.
I even predicted in the year 2000 that AI would become a thing around 2030, I admit that’s the most bulls eye long term prediction I’ve ever made. But still to make a blanket statement that it is unknowable is false.
There are trajectories, and there are statistics that can predict a lot.
Like for instance many of us predicted Russia would lose the war against Ukraine already a couple of months in.
And it was predicted 2 years ago that USA would go to war with Iran and lose.
I can also predict that the return of Jesus Christ will not happen within the next 2000 years either!
In fact the entire purpose about humans having consciousness from an evolutionary perspective, is to serve as a mechanism for predictions based on experience to improve our rate of survival.
The future is unknowable.
Nonsense take to side step looking at trends and whats likely sure we can’t “know” but we can estimate with above random chance.
The only way we can make moral decisions is by doing our best to anticipate the results.
The business of being human and the business of speculating about the future are one and the same.
IDK I’ve predicted my own birthday and Christmas correctly dozens of times.
I even predicted in the year 2000 that AI would become a thing around 2030, I admit that’s the most bulls eye long term prediction I’ve ever made. But still to make a blanket statement that it is unknowable is false.
There are trajectories, and there are statistics that can predict a lot.
Like for instance many of us predicted Russia would lose the war against Ukraine already a couple of months in.
And it was predicted 2 years ago that USA would go to war with Iran and lose.
I can also predict that the return of Jesus Christ will not happen within the next 2000 years either!
In fact the entire purpose about humans having consciousness from an evolutionary perspective, is to serve as a mechanism for predictions based on experience to improve our rate of survival.