Basically the title.
I have seen the EU-OS/Suse discussions for some months now. However, Ubuntu/Arch/Fedora are extremely mature projects. So competing against them will be hard.
I want to know how realistic the scenario (described by the question) is.
No they won’t. I’ve heard all kinds of stories like this for Putin and he’s still alive and happy.
Yeah no, Putin is a different story
He doesn’t give a shit about dead soldiers in body bags. Almost noone in Russia sees that, or if they do they’ll be told som lie about it. Its much simpler than in the US
You know what’s not simpler? Demographics. As I recently read somewhere, demographics is like a freight train, slow, but all of the sudden you hear this horn bare and you’re splattered under it.
Putin lost now about a million men of working age. That is a huge gash that will come back to haunt Russia. Not Putin, mind you, he’ll be dead and gone within a few years. Russia, though, is thoroughly fucked for the next decades. It already has low population issues before, and their demographics chart at this point is a fucking rollercoaster. Their population is already relatively old, and with the loss of about a million men, in a country largely dependent on mineral extraction and sale, it will be ugly.
He’s losing men over 50 years old that are left out and are garbage of society. They wouldn’t be participating in any demographic activities anyway.
I bet there are millions of Americans like this too. Coal miners who lost the job, casino players, heavy drinkers. For a hefty sum of money and a chance to be important again they’d do anything. You really underestimate how quick they can be turned into a cannon fodder and how little the society will miss them.
Source: I lived in Russia.